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Analysis of Proposition
1B After
carefully examining Proposition 1B, the
Transportation and Land Use Coalition (TALC) is
taking an oppose position. While we applaud the work
of several lawmakers to gain significant funding for
public transportation within this proposition, this
funding must be weighed against the bond’s likely
damage to programs that rely on the state’s General
Fund, its failure to implement a more sustainable
funding mechanism for transportation, and the
absence of any connection to policies that promote
efficient land use and reduce long-term
transportation demand.
Summary of
Position
Governor Schwarzenegger’s Strategic Growth Plan,
released in January of 2006, envisioned
transportation bonds primarily focused on building
highways and expanding freight facilities. A
bipartisan effort ensued to knit together the
Governor’s Plan with more well-rounded proposals
from Senator Perata, Assembly Speaker Núñez, and
others. In May 2006, the Legislature approved SB
1266 (Perata/Núñez) to place a $19.9 billion
transportation infrastructure bond, Proposition 1B,
on the November ballot.
The enormity of
Proposition 1B – it is far larger than any bond ever
considered in California – means the package is able
to provide something for almost every transportation
interest group except cyclists and pedestrians. The
breakdown of the overall package is:
- A full 50%, or
$10 billion, for highway expansion, highway and
road maintenance, and trade expansion (goods
movement).
- An additional
5%, or $1 billion, for mitigating air pollution
from the increased goods movement.
- 25% of the
package, or $5 billion, to public transit and
transit security.
- 15%, or $3
billion, to programs that can flexibly fund both
road and transit capital programs, with decisions
primarily to be made by regional and county
agencies.
- The remaining 5%
would fund a variety of smaller programs such as
port security, intelligent transportation systems,
diesel school bus retrofits, and grade
separations.
On the positive
side, the bond would give public transportation a
significant infusion of funding for capital needs.
Additionally, legislative leaders resisted the
temptation to earmark funds for pet projects (with
the exception of State Route 99). Instead, the
proposition dedicates funding to a number of
existing programs, such as the State Transportation
Improvement Program (STIP), and to new funding
categories that would be controlled at the state
level.
But, fundamentally,
Proposition 1B is deeply flawed in three ways:
1. The funding
mechanism for Prop 1B threatens important state
programs. This $20 billion general obligation
bond, plus the associated interest payments, would
be repaid from the state’s General Fund over the
next 30 years. Drawing from the General Fund for
transportation improvements would reduce the funding
available in future years for education, health
care, social services, and public safety.
While there was a
significant state budget surplus this year, the
large deficits experienced in California between
2001 and 2005 are expected to return. In addition,
the state also faces tens of billions of dollars in
financial burdens from unfunded liabilities related
to employee retirement. According to the state’s
Legislative Analyst, these liabilities are “very
important from the standpoint of the state’s overall
fiscal health…in that they will require future
taxpayer dollars to be diverted to fund state
employee and teacher services already rendered.”
Lawmakers are likely to face a truly dramatic
structural deficit in a few years, and will be
forced to compensate for the additional debt service
on Proposition 1B by cutting or borrowing $1.3
billion dollars annually from other programs, or
raising taxes.
One of the greatest
ironies of the bond is that it increases the
likelihood that public transit will get lower levels
of operating funds in the future, when the new
transit projects funded by the bond are completed.
This is because the gas tax “spillover,” which
generally is available in years that gas prices are
high and is intended to provide much-needed
operations money to public transit, has historically
been shifted into the General Fund every year that
there is a budget shortfall. $1.3 billion had been
at least partially redirected since 2000 until this
year’s budget surplus allowed it to be allocated
entirely to transportation. As our structural
deficit grows, and as transportation bonds and
earmarks become a larger cause of that shortfall, it
will be even more difficult to direct the gas tax
spillover to public transit because it will be
needed to repay the debt incurred by the bonds.
2. Prop 1B is
not a long-term funding solution. This bond is
being put on the ballot because the Legislature has
failed to do what many other states have done:
provide a Cost Of Living Adjustment (COLA) for
transportation by indexing certain fees and taxes to
inflation. The statewide excise tax on gasoline has
been at 18 cents per gallons for the past 12 years,
meaning the purchasing power of the largest source
of transportation revenue has been steadily eroded
by inflation. Indexing this tax to inflation (or
real wages) would raise an additional $40 billion or
more during the 30 year period of the proposed bond
– enough to pay for the proposed expenditures and to
initiate a high-speed rail system in California.
There are other
existing transportation user fees that also have the
potential to provide far more funding than they
currently do; indeed, truck weight fees were indexed
to inflation just last year. Well-designed
transportation user fees, from shipping container
fees to vehicle license fees, can simultaneously
promote environmental quality, social equity, and
economic growth – without taking funding from
essential state services.
3. Prop 1B fails
to tackle the root source of our transportation
crisis. The tremendous strain on the state’s
highways and local roads are largely the result of
poorly planned development that depends on
automobile access – development that places
sprawling subdivisions far from office parks,
schools, shopping districts, or healthcare and other
services. Until we start to build walkable downtowns
and neighborhoods, and link them together with
effective public transit, people will have no choice
but to sit in traffic-packed highways that resemble
parking lots.
Expanding
interchanges and adding more lanes to some highways
will not provide a long-term cure; by the time that
many highway expansions are completed, new sprawling
developments will have made congestion worse than
before.
Conclusion
The Transportation and Land Use Coalition recognizes
the work of many excellent lawmakers who helped
develop this package and used significant political
capital to garner funding for public transportation.
However, we must look at the skyrocketing traffic
congestion in nearly all of our metropolitan regions
and acknowledge that the status quo is failing us.
Land use planning, pricing policies, and bicycle and
pedestrian safety should be a part of any large
transportation funding measure; but, they are absent
from this proposal.
Furthermore, the
painful reality of state budget cuts over the last
five years cannot, and should not, be forgotten.
When we think about what this great state needs for
the next generation, it certainly includes excellent
public transportation and well paved roads, but not
at the expense of education, health, and social
services. TALC and its member groups look forward to
working with the legislature to develop and pass
transportation funding measures that solve the
transportation crisis and provide residents with
quality transportation choices.
1 The 2006-07
Budget: Perspectives and Issues. Report from the
Legislative Analyst’s Office to the Joint
Legislative Budget Committee. 2006. |